27 May 2010

Election 2010: Congress

Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball is the latest of the national political handicappers to recast or keep West Virginia's 1st Congressional District race as a "toss-up" in the wake of state Sen. Mike Oliverio's defeat of incumbent Rep. Alan Mollohan in the May 11 Democratic primary.

Congressional Quarterly's CQ Politics opines that "though Democrats are now fielding a more electable candidate, the general election between Oliverio and Republican nominee David McKinley, a former state legislator and West Virginia GOP chairman, should still be very competitive."

Others ranking the seat as a toss-up include the Rothenberg Political Report and the Cook Political Report.

Sabato and Cook, meanwhile consider the outcome for Rep. Nick Rahall, D-3rd, as "likely Democratic." Rothenberg and CQ Politics consider his seat "safe."

The seat of Rep. Shelley Moore Capito, R-3rd, is either unranked or deemed "safe Republican" by these observers.

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